Fooled By Randomness

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Fooled By Randomness

Fooled By Randomness
Author: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Publisher: Random House
ISBN: 1588367673
Size: 17.72 MB
Format: PDF, ePub, Mobi
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Fooled by Randomness is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are The Black Swan, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes. Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb–veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan–has written a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill. This book is about luck–or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill–the world of trading–Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives. The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world’s wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness. However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed–the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time–he embodies the “survival of the least fit.” Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru’s insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance. Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared. Named by Fortune One of the Smartest Books of All Time A Financial Times Best Business Book of the Year
Fooled by Randomness
Language: en
Pages: 368
Authors: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Categories: Business & Economics
Type: BOOK - Published: 2008-10-14 - Publisher: Random House
Fooled by Randomness is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are The Black Swan, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed
Incerto
Language: en
Pages: 1568
Authors: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Categories: Philosophy
Type: BOOK - Published: 2016-11-08 - Publisher: Random House Trade Paperbacks
Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series is an investigation of luck, uncertainty, probability, opacity, human error, risk, disorder, and decision-making in a world we don't understand, in nonoverlapping and standalone books. All four volumes--Antifragile, The Black Swan, Fooled by Randomness, and the expanded edition of The Bed of Procrustes, updated
Incerto 4-Book Bundle
Language: en
Pages: 1568
Authors: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Categories: Business & Economics
Type: BOOK - Published: 2016-01-26 - Publisher: Random House
Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series is an investigation of luck, uncertainty, probability, opacity, human error, risk, disorder, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand, in nonoverlapping and standalone books. All four volumes—Antifragile, The Black Swan, Fooled by Randomness, and the expanded edition of The Bed of Procrustes, updated
INCERTO BOX SET
Language: en
Pages:
Authors: NASSIM NICHOLAS. TALEB
Categories: Business & Economics
Type: BOOK - Published: 2019 - Publisher:
Books about INCERTO BOX SET
Incerto
Language: en
Pages: 1856
Authors: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Categories: Business & Economics
Type: BOOK - Published: 2019-07-30 - Publisher: Random House
The landmark five-book series--now in a beautifully designed, cloth-bound deluxe hardcover boxed set The Incerto is an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision making when we don't understand the world, expressed in the form a personal essay with autobiographical sections, stories, parables, and philosophical, historical,
Суперпрогнозування. Мистецтво та наука передбачення
Language: uk
Pages: 390
Authors: Філіп Тетлок, Ден Гарднер
Categories: Business & Economics
Type: BOOK - Published: 2019-03-12 - Publisher: Наш формат
Завдяки вмінню прогнозувати події можна уникнути помилок і досягти успіху в усіх сферах нашого життя. Однак мало кому до снаги передбачити, у що варто вкладати кошти, який новий продукт здатен завоювати ринок і яких змін чекати на політичній арені. Навіть провідні експерти часто радше здогадуються про певні речі, ніж аналізують
Quicklet on Nassim Taleb's Fooled by Randomness (CliffNotes-like Summary)
Language: en
Pages: 24
Authors: Abdul Montaqim
Categories: Study Aids
Type: BOOK - Published: 2012-02-24 - Publisher: Hyperink Inc
ABOUT THE BOOK When I was in school I considered a career in finance. Or to be more embarrassingly precise, I considered becoming an accountant. I chose the appropriate subjects and got myself onto a business degree course. I was still only 19 and you could say I was following
Фішинг. Хто і як маніпулює вашим вибором
Language: uk
Pages: 278
Authors: Джордж Акерлоф, Роберт Шиллер
Categories: Business & Economics
Type: BOOK - Published: 2018-01-06 - Publisher: Наш формат
«Фішинг» — це книжка про економічну теорію, однак не ту, якої нас навчав Адам Сміт. Джордж Акерлоф і Роберт Шиллер пропонують своє, оригінальне бачення вільних ринків, які не лише «вирівнюють» потреби споживача, а й намагаються обманути його, щойно з’являється така змога. Цей обман автори називають фішингом. Поняття фішингу в книжці
Antifragile
Language: en
Pages: 544
Authors: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Categories: Business & Economics
Type: BOOK - Published: 2012-11-27 - Publisher: Random House
Antifragile is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, The Black Swan, Skin in the Game, and The Bed
The Black Swan
Language: en
Pages: 366
Authors: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Categories: Forecasting
Type: BOOK - Published: 2009-10-13 - Publisher: National Geographic Books
In the author's point of view, a black swan is an improbable event with three principal characteristics - It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. Why do we not